[Jeff Probst]

- Thu May 11, 2017 10:12:41 pm #4196 Congrats! You made final 7!!

Now what?

[Aubry]

- Thu May 11, 2017 10:38:37 pm #4230 First, I get the forums and cometchat to work!!! GOT DAMN, this is literally the only thing I can do on the board, no PMs or chatting or anything, and it took like 10 mins to load UGH this game is killing my devices one by one so i can't even celebrate with anyone BUT SORRY THAT'S NEITHER HERE NOR THERE

Holy shit, final 7. FINAL 7.

Now what is a great question. So far everything is according to plan. But now... now is the time to start picking off your friends.

I say I hate this part of the game, and I really do, but also....... I don't. This is part of the fun!!!

I... need... to figure this out. I laid out a plan in an earlier confessional that was pretty spot on. I voted out Morgan tho because she wasn't with me really, I couldn't get to the end with her as much as I'd want to.

So my new ideal f3... who... could I win against?

I feel like my game is weakening. My infiltration of the majority to save my minority was awesome. But... that's over. Done. Now what can I do to keep my game stronger than everyone else's?

All questions I need to think about when I go to this conference haahahhahah yikes

Generally, though... I CAN'T win against: Andrea.

.....


.................................

Steve maybe, depending on what he does. He's been talking a pretty big game recently, we'll see if he actually makes a freaking move.

LINDSEY. She's killing it. I think I'd have a chance against her, but not really a good one.

I CAN win against: Nat. Tai. LJ. HANDS FUCKING DOWN

OH MY GOD

YEAH.... THIS CAN HAPPEN!!!! I really think I have a good chance to win it in any permutation of those 3 and me. Now the precarious part: Final four can't me those three and me, or guess who leaves... ME

It's so tricky, but f4 has to be me, two of those people, and a threat who can't win immunities. Andrea...... would be the best fit there, but no, she's too big of a threat. Can't let her get that close, just in case.

Okay sorry, I'm speaking abstractly and rambling.

NEXT MOVE: TAKE OUT LINDSEY WITH STEVE. BIG MOVE, will add momentum to my resume.
THEN ANDREA CUZ WE'RE NOT IDIOTS AND SHE NEEDS TO GO
ahhhhhhhh fuck nope, cuz then STEVE. the challenge beast. is left. SHIT

I need to think about this. Because Lindsey is great at challenges too!! It's gonna be tricky, but GOD if I can just GET THERE!!!!

OH MY GOD AND I STILL HAVE AN IDOL HAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHA I FORGOT EVEN

[Aubry]

- Thu May 11, 2017 11:08:09 pm #4244 Sorry I just wanna immortalize this moment because I just adore this guy so much

"How's your day been, LJ?"

[Aubry]

- Thu May 11, 2017 11:20:19 pm #4249 Also another aside, Public Round? Terrifying af, but AWESOME. GREAT twist.

[Jonathan Penner]

- Fri May 12, 2017 3:41:28 am #4259 Hi Aubry!

What are your thoughts on Stranded in general? Are you having fun? Is it a lot of work?

How do you plan to balance the tricky task of getting to the end with people you can beat and not being taken out as the big threat before the end?

Can you rank everyone in order of likelihood to win a jury vote?

[Aubry]

- Fri May 12, 2017 3:35:51 pm #4280 Waddup Penner!!

I AM LOVING THIS. This cast has been spot on, IMO, and I love getting to know these people. The game itself is always fun, but a sour cast can really sour the experience. I wouldn't say it's a lot of work, cuz every moment of this is "play" for me. It's certainly taking up the entirety of my play time, but I'm more than ok with that! And the game itself is really fun - the challenges are challenging, but balanced. And the twists are fresh and fun. This is definitely a top-tier franchise, IMO, and that's only exacerbated by the anonymity. No pregame alliance bullshit!

Yeah, that tricky task is going to be just that... tricky. I have a spreadsheet going where I'm continuously trying to come up with the best f4 and work backwards from there. I'm not completely sure which is the best plan for me yet, but here are concrete certainties:

LJ AND LINDSEY CANNOT BOTH MAKE F4. I'm p sure that, as much as I love them both, they're closer with each other than to me. Lindsey is a threat I want gone before FTC, so if I try to get her out at f4... it won't work, because LJ won't stab her in the back. Best case scenario there (assuming Steve is there and assuming he wins final immunity) is a tie between me and Lindsey... and I may beat her, but I don't really like those odds. At all. So LINDSEY'S GOTTA GO IN THE NEXT 3 TRIBALS.

ANDREA CAN'T BE AT F3. I literally think I can at least make a case - maybe not a blowout one, but one nonetheless - against everyone but Andrea. Ideally she'd be taken out at f4, but that depends on her not winning (a good chance of that).

NAT CAN BE PERSUADED TO VOTE ANDREA OFF. Making her a good candidate to move forward with as a goat (ugh i hate that word but literally no one will vote for nat).

And that's really all I know at this point. This is likely to change as I ponder it (in fact I only just finished writing this sentence, then went back to change a name lmao), but I think the best permutation is me, andrea, nat, and tai at f4. Steve and LJ are both amazing at challenges, but I come close!!!! I think me or Tai could win that final challenge, and an andrea vote would be a no brainer. That puts me in the end with nat and Tai. BEAUTIFUL. Tai is pretty disliked (or at least his game isn't respected) by the old majority alliance, so I think that's a landslide win for me.

I could replace Nat and/or Tai with Steve and/or LJ just to ENSURE Andrea doesn't win that last challenge, but Steve/LJ will be a little harder to beat in the end. I'd still have a chance, but not quite as good of one.

Lindsey is in no way a part of my plans. And she's a threat, as much as I adore her as a person. Maybe she's next to go... Steve certainly wants that!!! Who knows though - it's a sticky situation from here on out. I'm really really flexible, as long as LJindsey doesn't make f4 and Andrea doesn't make FTC. Many many options - we'll have to see!

Ranking of most likely to win a jury vote:
ANDREA. Pretty obvious. She's making huge ballsy moves, and has always been the most personable person out here. Like... if she's Sandra Diaz-Twine, we're all Micronesia Chets in comparison.

........ Me? I have Julia over there. Trish knows I played that idol for Tai. Nick may vote for me if he's not too hurt I played him like a fiddle this entire game. Morgan liked me a lot. Spencer prob wouldn't vote for me, but I think I have enough there. Depending also of course on who else joins the jury and how, but literally (EXCEPT NAT) every person here I'm close with. I really think I have a good shot if I can just GET THERE

Steve. Idk what his deal is, but he's always been at the bottom. He's so cool though, and by being at the bottom (like meeee) he hasn't really betrayed anyone. He's scary to me.

Lindsey. She's skeeved me out this whole time cuz she's so clearly amazing at this game. Idk if the jury will see that though, since she never really infiltrated the other side? Idk. She would definitely have Trish's vote, but definitely WOULDN'T have Morgan's. Maybe she's not as threatening as I think she is, but her relationships in this game are a total mystery to me... and as they say, better the devil you know.

Tai. He's got Julias (if me/Andrea aren't there) and Trish's vote in the bag, I think. Otherwise, everyone's been against him from the start. Is that because they actually genuinely don't like him, or because they were just following orders? If it's the former, he's doomed for votes. If it's the latter, they may respect that he's been able to survive round after round after round. So idk, he could get votes. Would depend on who he's sitting with.

LJ. He's done squat in this game, but DAMN is he personable. If he's bonded with the jurors half as much as he has with me, that might be bad?

Nat. Love you girl, but where are you? Doing squat in this game, and also not making real bonds. Except maybe with Andrea, but EVERYONE's bonded with Andrea.

[Kelly Wigles]

- Fri May 12, 2017 6:43:00 pm #4293 Would you say that it's a bigger liability to make bonds with everyone in the game than it is to lay low and let the threats take each other out?

[Aubry]

- Sat May 13, 2017 5:54:12 pm #4313 If the end goal is winning the game, the latter is a bigger liability imo. Sure, you're gonna get to the end, but like Jeff said... if no one knows you, WHO CARES. Even if you make people mad, you have to engage with everyone. Maybe there will be a bitter jury and you'll still lose, but maybe not. It's way better (and honestly more fun) to PLAY THE GAME rather than not engage.

[Kelly Wigles]

- Sat May 13, 2017 7:03:43 pm #4314 Could you give us a quick status report on how the game is going?

[Aubry]

- Sun May 14, 2017 2:22:51 pm #4323 Honestly, it's QUIET. I'm at a conference, Steve Lj and nat are doing things, and Lindsey and tai are quiet to begin with. So yeah, it's just andrea panicking mostly lol.

But we're voting Lindsey out tonight. The only person left who I'm genuinely afraid to lose to (other than Andrea who is my meat shield). Nat has no reason to flip, so, should be an easy vote!